Saturday, September 24, 2011

Spy Agency - Islamabad Or Washington - Who Will Blink First - The National

Salman Masood

In this particular August 22, 1998 file photo, Jalaluddin Haqqani, president of the militant collection that Haqqani network, break silence during an meet with inside Miram Shah, Pakistan.

AP Photo/Mohammed Riaz, File

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ISLAMABAD // A barrage regarding allegations by simply senior US authorities in which the Pakistani army as well as its traveler agency assist militants looking for American soldiers in Afghanistan offers more frayed an undoubtedly unreliable alliance.

On Thursday, Admiral Mike Mullen, this chairman on the US Joint Chiefs of Staff, falsely accused Pakistan's traveler agency, the particular Inter-Services Intelligence Directorate (ISI), connected with immediately aiding your militant Haqqani multilevel inside September tough luck infiltration around the US embassy in Kabul.

He likewise alleged some people have been involved in a September 10 lorry bomb attack in which injured 77 Americans at a foundation inside Wardak province.

Adm Mullen has described that Haqqani community as a "veritable arm" with the particular ISI.

The US support secretary, Leon Panetta, hinted on Thursday that the region could receive unilateral motion contrary to the Haqqani network. He mentioned he could not feel the Pakistanis "would be amazed because of the activities we might and also will possibly not take", without presenting every details.

The accusations plus veiled warnings had been achieved with defiance by Pakistani officials.

Gen Ashfaq Parvez Kayani, the Pakistani army chief, explained that that US allegations were "not based on facts" along with waived which ISI supports the Haqqani network.

Gen Kayani mentioned in which "Admiral Mullen is aware of fully effectively which in turn countries are within phone considering the Haqqanis".

The Haqqanis will be based in North Waziristan, that north-west Pakistani tribal place straddling your line together with Afghanistan.

But their have an impact on reaches up to the Paktia, Paktika and also Khost provinces associated with Afghanistan.

Estimated to have 10,000 to be able to 15,000 fighters, the Haqqani network is actually identified by the US since their the majority of efficient opponent while in the region.

Pakistanis point out that they have little operational control within the Haqqanis, who may have allegiance to Mullah Muhammed Omar, the Taliban leader.

Pakistan possesses persistently balked at US demands to be able to launch a military services operations around North Waziristan, fearing a new deep blowback within this country.

But the particular Haqqani system is furthermore observed to be a counterweight available to Pakistanis for you to any future Indian influence inside Afghanistan when US troops leave the region. Pakistani authorities in addition to analysts declare of which for the reason that US work contrary to the Taliban include faltered in Afghanistan, there are started to utilize Pakistan being a scapegoat for its private failures.

"You are not able to purchase to alienate Pakistan," Hina Rabbani Khar, the Pakistani dangerous minister, claimed throughout New York a week ago on your sidelines with the UN General Assembly session.

"If these are picking to undertake so, it's going to often be at their particular personal cost," Ms Khar said, incorporating which "anything that is considered concerning a great ally, concerning some sort of partner, publicly for you to recriminate it, to help humiliate it, is not really acceptable".

Pakistani Islamist visitors politicians have in addition condemned the American threats.

"The US is usually likely to launch an infiltration about Pakistan for the pretext involving sizzling pursuit. The Haqqani network and ISI connection is really a simply drama to materialise their plan," claimed Qazi Hussain Ahmed, your an old chief involving Jamaat-e-Islami, this country's oldest spiritual political party.

Analysts watch that verbal spats while together characteristics scrambling to acquire better leverage with the other.

"The US and Pakistan are generally involved from a sport associated with high-stakes brinkmanship as they struggle that will protect an Afghanistan endgame therefore to their own favour," stated Arif Rafiq, an analyst based inside Washington.

"A true rupture is actually possible, particularly when US allows input Pakistani territory by way of heli-copter or perhaps terrain as well as participate inside hostilities by using Pakistani forces."

Omar R Quraishi, op-ed internet page manager of The Express Tribune, a Karachi-based English each day newspaper, arranged that this present standoff using the US "is the hardest inside existing memory" as well as warned that it "does possibly not augur good for Pakistan, certainly not just in government terms and also inside economic terms".

"The Americans possess laid their greeting cards away around the stand and, along at the quite least, hope Pakistan to consider options to neutralise Haqqani network's power in order to hand techinque with American in addition to Nato forces," Mr Quraishi said.

Mr Rafiq explained which "despite US pressure, your Pakistani government can be unlikely to be able to sever ties using the Haqqani circle a decade's into a warfare that will is usually close up in order to its end".

He added: "The current Kabul blasts contribute to your Afghan insurgents' arranged advantage.

"Why couldn't the particular Pakistani navy continue to location it's bets within the better horse?

"Washington may well end up being the first to blink as it aren't able to afford continual turmoil with Islamabad.

"All-out hostility with Islamabad could possibly provide increased militant approaches inside Afghanistan in addition to an upsurge throughout nationalist verse with Pakistan, emboldening government hardliners in addition to certainly also unhealthy the particular civilian political figures Washington hope will gradually supplant that military.

"Washington's possibilities vis- -vis Islamabad tend to be limited."

With Pakistan-US relations ebbing with a different low, Mr Rafiq made available a grim prognosis.

"The Obama administration's Pakistan protection plan is in full disarray," they said.

"It at this point perils required to police an Afghan municipal conflict while it faces this spectre of a different credit crunch in your house in an election year."

Despite the population sparrings, Gen James Mattis, head from the US Central Command, got here in great britain the later part of on Friday to keep speaks having Gen Kayani.

foreign.desk@thenational.ae

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